What Happens in June

OK, so let's project forward into the future a little bit and ponder a possible scenario:

Let's say we get to the end of the primary season in June and we're still in the same place as we are now. In other words:

Obama leads Clinton in elected delegates by around 130.

Clinton has won all of the "big" states (NY, CA, OH, PA, TX, MA) except for Illinois.

Obama has won more states overall.

Obama leads the popular vote by around the same small margin (~600K) as he does now.

Clinton leads the SuperDelegate tally, but a 200-300 remain uncommitted.

Michigan and Florida do not ultimately get "done over" and Howard Dean gets everyone to agree on some compromise that enables MI and FL delegates to participate but not be a determining factor (I can't figure out how that would work, but let's assume something gets worked out).

No major gaffes have occurred on either side, no new scandals have emerged, no surrogate has said anything deadly to the campaign.

The momentum see-saw has flopped back and forth a couple of more times.

What happens then?