Monday, September 18, 2006

LG Race: All Tied Up

In a Suffolk University/Channel 7 poll released today, the LG race is too close to call.

The numbers are as follows (with their increase over the prior Suffolk poll from 8/22):

Deb Goldberg: 25% (+19%)
Tim Murray: 22% (+11)
Andrea Silbert: 20% (+15%)

In the commentary put out by the pollster along with the results, this interesting nugget about the LG race was included:

“When you consider all the races, this is the one that could come down to a re-count,” said Paleologos. “However, Deval Patrick supporters could end up deciding the Lt. Governor winner by discussing it on the Deval Patrick internet platform.”

In an August 22nd poll, the results were as follows:

Tim Murray: 11%
Deb Goldberg: 6%
Andrea Silbert: 5%

It's pretty clear that they are all gathering traction and that Deb's millions are NOT allowing her to pull away.

This means that the Silbert and Murray field operations (which I would think track the Patrick operation in various communities) will play a key role in the outcome, because Deb likely has no field operation a la Gabrieli and is relying on name recognition.

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